Ok we are roughly 1/4 of the way through the baseball season, so let’s take a look at how things are shaping up right now.
American League East
- Boston Red Sox – They lead the division by a game and a half over the Rays (amazing, I know). It appears that the Sox are probably the cream of the AL, an experienced team that has a good mix of veterans and kids. And as Lester and Elsbury are proving, those kids can play!
-Tampa Bay Rays – Only a game and a half behind the Red Sox. Speaking of teams that have kids that can go, the Rays have them in droves. And they should, they have been horrific for their entire ten year existence. I am not sure they have the composure to hang with, or pass the Sox, but I think they could certainly be players in the Wild Card.
-Baltimore Orioles – Someone has to be third. I have no idea what to think of this team. They trade away Bedard and Tejada and say they are going to rebuild, then refuse to trade Roberts and keep Mora. Not sure what they are doing. There is some talent there, and I would imagine they will be better than people thought, but I have a feeling the peak of their season was in April. Well, unless they could play 162 games against the Yankees
-Toronto Blue Jays – Ugh. I have finally given up on this team. I would think it has to be hard as hell being a Blue Jays fan. They have the talent, but it just never comes together. Not sure it ever will. They could finish third in the AL East, but I don’t really think that is saying much right now
- New York Yankees – You know, I have heard all the excuses “we had injured players!” You know what? Good teams overcome injuries. The Phillies lost Jimmy Rollins and Shane Victorino – obviously not the same caliber as A-Rod and Posada but just as essential to our team – and we didn’t fold and fade to last place. The Yankees are just not that good. That rotation is a joke. The kids are not coming around like they had hoped. I wonder if Stein is kicking himself for not including Hughes in that Santana deal now? I think the Yankees are good enough to finish ahead of Baltimore, but not good enough to stay ahead of Toronto. An average team in the AL = no playoffs for the Yankees.
American League Central
Chicago White Sox – Before the season I didn’t think the Sox had the pitching to hang in there. I am not sure I feel any differently now, but they are proving me wrong. I can’t say I have seen a whole lot of the Sox, and I am not even sure what there is to like on that team as far as young kids go. I know Floyd flirted with a no hitter, but I remember him from his days in Philly and I am not sure how good he really is. They are taking advantage of a division in disarray, which could be good enough to win that division in the end.
Minnesota Twins – No reason to think the Twins will hang around. I have seen that lineup, bland as hell, and pitching that is being anchored by a 137 year old pitcher. I was happy to see Liriano get sent down though. I thought he was a fluke when everyone was saying he was the next great pitcher, at the moment he is proving my point. Thank you Mr. Liriano
Cleveland Indians – They are the anti-White Sox. They have pitching up the ass, but can’t hit the ball to save their lives, despite having some great players on that team. Because the Central is so inconsistent they could certainly hang around, and with that pitching, should the bats wake up, they could easily and quickly put some distance between them and the second place team.
Kansas City Royals – I really want to like this team. And I really want them to turn it around and be contenders. And it seems like they are taking steps in the right direction, but I don’t think they are there yet. I think if they have a chance to pull something similar to what the Tigers did a few years ago. They will have to overspend to get players to come there, but if they are smart about it, with the young players they have, they could be a legit threat in a few years. Or, if they were allowed to play the Tigers 162 times, that could be this year. And, I’ll bet they are pretty happy that Andruw spurned them for the Dodgers aren’t they?
Detroit Tigers – Holy shit what a glorious mess they are. They have an offense that should MASH and it doesn’t. They have a pitching staff that should be on the positive side of good, and it isn’t. Leyland has got to be pulling what hair he has left out of his head at this point, I mean what can they do? I have no idea. I heard today that when Willis comes back, he is going to be in the pen. Not sure what I think about that.
American League East
Anaheim Angels – You know, I just don’t like the Angels. They are turning into the west coast version of the Minnesota Twins of a few years ago for me – a good team, but boring as hell to watch. I know they are good, and should probably win the division again, but I don’t think they are good enough to win the world series.
Oakland A’s – Team Smoke and Mirrors strikes again! Oakland is another team that I don’t think can hang around for the division, but I think they can hang in the wild card chase for a bit. Beane got some great players in the Haren trade so I think they can beat some teams. I thought they would be terrible. Clearly I was wrong.
Texas Rangers – They are only 5 back, and have no pitching. At all. None. They don’t have a prospect that I am aware of that is in line to come up and be great. They will hit the ball well, but the pitching will cost them games. A lot of games
Seattle Mariners – What the hell happened here? I picked them to win the division and this is how they repay me? Jerks. I haven’t seen the Mariners play, but something sure as hell isn’t going right, and unlike some people I don’t think signing Bonds is the answer. Signing Bonds is NEVER the answer.
National League East
Florida Marlins – the Marlins have already exceeded my expectations. I didn’t think they would be able to do anything with all those kids on the team, but they are playing well right now. I don’t think it will last this year – but in a few years, when that team matures? Wow. They won’t be as bad as I thought, but they will fade over the summer
Atlanta Braves – Not sure how long that rotation can hold up. A rumored trade for Maddux would be interesting. The Braves are a little better than I thought. I had them pegged for third in the division behind Philly and New York. Now, I think they will be right in the race the whole year, both the division and wild card. And I hate them for that.
Philadelphia Phillies – My team. I am pleased so far. It would be great if we had a better record, but considering this time last year we were still digging out of a horrific start I will take this. The pitching is CLEARLY a big question, Eaton sucks and Moyer is showing his age. Myers is not what he was, maybe that trip to the pen wasn’t the answer after all. The offense is fine, and could be great if Howard would stop swinging at EVERYTHING when he is at the plate. I think they are certainly good enough to contend for the division and wild card all year
New York Mets – You know, when I see the Mets a game over .500 and looking like a dead team playing, it makes me think back to those bold predictions of a rotation that was going to win over 90 games, with Pedro winning 17. Yes you heard that right, 17 wins for Pedro. Drugs are bad kids, mmmmmmkay? Willie almost has to be fired, but I am not even sure that would make a difference at this point. The Mets just don’t seem to care. Which is fine with me. 82-80 over their last 162 games. The Mets scare me less than the Braves
Washington Nationals – Not as good as I thought they would be. I thought they could turn the corner and make some noise. And to be fair, they are not horrible either. They will play spoilers all year, beating teams when it matters. Sort of like last year, only not just in September. I think they COULD finish better than the Marlins, but I wouldn’t bank on it.
National League Central
Chicago Cubs – Perhaps the best team in the NL? They have a solid, if not spectacular rotation, and a pretty balanced lineup. The rest of the NL Central isn’t much to worry about, so the Cubs could get themselves a bit of a cushion by the middle of the summer and skate a bit. This is a team I would worry about in October – unless they are playing the Phillies, then ITS ON!
St. Louis Cardinals – Hard to count out a team with Albert Pujols, but I have my doubts that he can stay healthy all year. I think the Cards will be better than I thought, but in the NL Central that isn’t saying a whole lot. Now, if they would just make Ludwick the starting OF, that would make me happy.
Houston Astros – What is it with Texas and pitching? The Rangers have NONE, and the Astros have just barely slightly more. They have Oswalt. And thats it. And I heard he has some pain in his arm. Thats bad. They have a lineup that can bash, and Berkman is otherworldly right about now, but I think their pitching is going to hurt them too much over the course of the season. They will fade after the break
Milwaukee Brewers – See Astros, Houston. They have a good lineup that can score some runs, Braun and Fielder are beasts, but with Gallardo done for the year, and Sheets one hiccup away from the DL, I just don’t trust this team to be a threat late in the season. This is not the year the Brewers make the playoffs. Over .500, yes, in the playoffs, no.
Pittsburgh Pirates – How are they not in last place? Seriously? There is really only one player I can think of on the Pirates that I would take on my team, and I can’t think of his name. The outfielder. And even then, he is a beast now, but he is also a kid. I wish the Pirates could get it together again, but I just don’t see it being this year
Cincinnati Reds – How ARE they in last place? I am not saying they will contend for a division crown, not yet anyway, but they shouldn’t be sitting in the NL Central basement either. I am not sure if Volquez it the real deal, but if he is, and Bailey can come back to the majors and do what he is doing in the minors, a rotation of Harang, Bailey, Cueto, Volquez and Arroyo could be LETHAL
National League West
Arizona Diamondbacks – I would say they are the next best team behind the Cubs. Their pitching is probably better, but I think the Cubs lineup is better top to bottom. Not sure what the hell happened to the NL West, I picked it to be the toughest division in baseball. Oops. If some of the teams don’t step up soon, Arizona is going to clinch the division in June. As it is now, Arizona should be able to distance themselves from everyone else and walk into the playoffs
Los Angeles Dodgers – Not as easy as you thought it would be huh Torre? I thought the Dodgers would be a whole lot better. They’re not. And its not ALL Andruw Jones, but that black hole of suck has to have SOME impact on the rest of the team. I think they could probably turn it around, but man, what a disappointment so far
Colorado Rockies – So was that run last year a fluke? Or was it all Kaz Matsui? They have some great players, but I think this might have been a case of a team getting insanely hot and playing over their heads at the right time rather than a team turning the corner and establishing a winner. And Holiday STILL hasn’t touched the plate
San Francisco Giants – Trade Lincecum already. Preferably to Philly. And for nothing in particular. Thank you. The Giants have already played better than I thought they would, but they are starting to sink back to where I expected them to be. In fact, if the NL West was worth a shit at all, they would already be comfortably in the basement. They will get there eventually, it will just take a little longer than I thought
San Diego Padres – wow. I debated them winning the division. Yikes. I don’t even know what is wrong out there. Peavy hasn’t been himself and it seems like no one else on that team has stepped up pitching wise. Also, they don’t appear to be much of an offensive threat. I keep hearing rumors of a fire sale, maybe that would keep the Giants out of last place. Either way, it is not going to be a fun summer in SD